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National League South | Gameweek 20
Nov 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Ironmongery Direct Stadium

Braintree
3 - 2
Hungerford

Farrell (49'), Matthews (75' pen.), Benton (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomas (62'), Ward (71')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Braintree Town and Hungerford Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braintree 0-0 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 2-1 Slough
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 48.93%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.

Result
Braintree TownDrawHungerford Town
48.93% (0.245 0.25) 24.92% (-0.149 -0.15) 26.15% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 53.14% (0.398 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.5% (0.559 0.56)49.5% (-0.556 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.47% (0.501 0.5)71.53% (-0.498 -0.5)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.74% (0.328 0.33)20.26% (-0.325 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.4% (0.522 0.52)52.6% (-0.51900000000001 -0.52)
Hungerford Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.64% (0.227 0.23)33.36% (-0.225 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.01% (0.244 0.24)69.98% (-0.24199999999999 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Braintree Town 48.92%
    Hungerford Town 26.15%
    Draw 24.92%
Braintree TownDrawHungerford Town
1-0 @ 10.78% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.61% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.03% (0.069 0.07)
3-0 @ 4.59% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.76% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.032 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 48.92%
1-1 @ 11.84% (-0.08 -0.08)
0-0 @ 6.76% (-0.154 -0.15)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.05 0.05)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 24.92%
0-1 @ 7.42% (-0.124 -0.12)
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 4.07% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.38% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 26.15%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Braintree 0-0 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, November 15 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 1-0 Braintree
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 4-1 Braintree
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 0-3 Braintree
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 4-1 Welling United
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 1-2 Braintree
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 2-1 Slough
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hemel Hempstead 3-2 Hungerford
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 0-0 Worthing
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 2-0 Hungerford
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-0 Hungerford
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-2 Cheshunt
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League South


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