SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheshunt win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 33.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheshunt win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheshunt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Cheshunt |
33.74% ( 0.69) | 25.94% ( 0.23) | 40.32% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 54.05% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.76% ( -0.85) | 50.24% ( 0.85) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.8% ( -0.76) | 72.19% ( 0.76) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( 0.02) | 28.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.93% ( 0.03) | 64.06% ( -0.03) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.41% ( -0.85) | 24.58% ( 0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.92% ( -1.21) | 59.08% ( 1.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hungerford Town | Draw | Cheshunt |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 3.27% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 33.74% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.94% | 0-1 @ 9.77% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.65% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.86% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.7% Total : 40.32% |
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