SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 68.53%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 12.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Hungerford Town win it was 0-1 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Oxford City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford City | Draw | Hungerford Town |
68.53% ( -1.78) | 18.73% ( 0.85) | 12.74% ( 0.92) |
| Both teams to score 49.57% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.65% ( -1.56) | 42.35% ( 1.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.24% ( -1.58) | 64.76% ( 1.58) |
| Oxford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.7% ( -0.89) | 11.3% ( 0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.06% ( -1.98) | 35.94% ( 1.98) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.88% ( 0.51) | 44.12% ( -0.51) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.78% ( 0.41) | 80.22% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford City | Draw | Hungerford Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.85% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.36)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.36)3-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.19)4-0 @ 4.69% ( -0.38)4-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.25)3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.25)5-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.18)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.74% Total : 68.53% | 1-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.42) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.34)2-2 @ 3.97% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.88% Total : 18.73% | 0-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.33) 1-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.22)0-2 @ 1.67% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.28% Total : 12.74% |
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