SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 49.68%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 25.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Hungerford Town |
49.68% ( 0.1) | 24.9% ( -0.03) | 25.42% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.55% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.05% ( 0.04) | 49.95% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.06% ( 0.04) | 71.93% ( -0.04) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.88% ( 0.05) | 20.12% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.62% ( 0.09) | 52.38% ( -0.1) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% ( -0.04) | 34.21% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.09% ( -0.04) | 70.9% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Hungerford Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% 2-1 @ 9.49% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.85% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0)Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.68% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.89% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.96% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.42% |
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