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National League South | Gameweek 11
Dec 5, 2020 at 3pm UK
West Leigh Park

Havant & W'ville
3 - 1
Chelmsford City

Wright (19', 63', 66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Havant & Waterlooville and Chelmsford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 46.27%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 28.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.

Result
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawChelmsford City
46.27%25.06%28.67%
Both teams to score 54.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.57%48.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.44%70.56%
Havant & Waterlooville Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.04%20.96%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.29%53.71%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.15%30.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.86%67.13%
Score Analysis
    Havant & Waterlooville 46.26%
    Chelmsford City 28.67%
    Draw 25.06%
Havant & WaterloovilleDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 10.1%
2-1 @ 9.28%
2-0 @ 7.89%
3-1 @ 4.84%
3-0 @ 4.11%
3-2 @ 2.84%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.61%
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 46.26%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.47%
2-2 @ 5.46%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.06%
0-1 @ 7.61%
1-2 @ 6.99%
0-2 @ 4.47%
1-3 @ 2.74%
2-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.75%
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 28.67%

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