SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 53.16%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Slough Town had a probability of 23.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 2-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Slough Town win it was 0-1 (6.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Slough Town |
53.16% ( -3.56) | 23.61% ( 0.99) | 23.23% ( 2.57) |
| Both teams to score 54.29% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.47% ( -1.27) | 46.53% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.2% ( -1.2) | 68.8% ( 1.21) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.55% ( -1.71) | 17.45% ( 1.71) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.08% ( -3.07) | 47.92% ( 3.07) |
| Slough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.76% ( 1.73) | 34.24% ( -1.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.06% ( 1.81) | 70.93% ( -1.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Slough Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 9.1% ( -0.57)3-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.42)3-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.67)3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.34)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.44)4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.72% Total : 53.16% | 1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.48) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 5.23% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.4% ( 0.62) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.52)0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.47)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.14)0-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.17% Total : 23.23% |
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