SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 49.1%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (8.32%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
49.1% ( 0.11) | 24.43% ( -0.04) | 26.48% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.02% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.85% ( 0.14) | 47.15% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.61% ( 0.13) | 69.39% ( -0.13) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.74% ( 0.1) | 19.26% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.02% ( 0.17) | 50.98% ( -0.17) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.15% ( 0.02) | 31.85% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.71% ( 0.02) | 68.29% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
| 1-0 @ 10.1% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.32% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.09% Total : 49.09% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.45% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 26.48% |
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