SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 68.22%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 13.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Welling United win it was 1-2 (3.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Welling United |
68.22% ( 0.18) | 18.32% ( -0.08) | 13.46% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 53.17% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.3% ( 0.14) | 38.7% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39% ( 0.15) | 61% ( -0.14) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.64% ( 0.08) | 10.36% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.14% ( 0.19) | 33.86% ( -0.18) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.32% ( -0.06) | 40.68% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.73% ( -0.05) | 77.27% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Welling United |
| 2-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 4.17% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.31% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.55% Total : 68.22% | 1-1 @ 8.6% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.32% | 1-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 3.79% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 13.46% |
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