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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 46.11%. A win for Hampton & Richmond had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.5%). The likeliest Hampton & Richmond win was 2-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Chelmsford City |
29.38% ( -0.1) | 24.52% ( 0.01) | 46.11% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.93% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.35% ( -0.08) | 45.65% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.03% ( -0.08) | 67.97% ( 0.08) |
| Hampton & Richmond Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.07% ( -0.11) | 28.93% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.19% ( -0.15) | 64.81% ( 0.15) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.1% ( 0.01) | 19.9% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.97% ( 0.02) | 52.03% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hampton & Richmond | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 2-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.14% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.38% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 5.77% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.51% | 1-2 @ 9.31% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 7.5% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 5.01% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 4.04% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.11% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.02% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 46.11% |
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