Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 21.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Braintree Town |
54.14% ( -0.13) | 24.11% ( 0.11) | 21.74% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.82% ( -0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.8% ( -0.43) | 50.19% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.84% ( -0.38) | 72.15% ( 0.38) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.55% ( -0.21) | 18.45% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.37% ( -0.35) | 49.63% ( 0.35) |
Braintree Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.32% ( -0.23) | 37.68% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.54% ( -0.22) | 74.45% ( 0.22) |
Score Analysis |
Chelmsford City | Draw | Braintree Town |
1-0 @ 11.74% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.13% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.74% |
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