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National League South | Gameweek 26
Jan 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
BT

Chelmsford City
3 - 0
Braintree

Watts (17'), Ruff (45'), Carruthers (56' pen.)
Winfield (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Braintree 0-3 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 0-3 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 21.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.93%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawBraintree Town
54.14% (-0.125 -0.13) 24.11% (0.108 0.11) 21.74% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.82% (-0.316 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.8% (-0.431 -0.43)50.19% (0.428 0.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.84% (-0.383 -0.38)72.15% (0.38 0.38)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.55% (-0.209 -0.21)18.45% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.37% (-0.353 -0.35)49.63% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Braintree Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.32% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)37.68% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.54% (-0.225 -0.22)74.45% (0.221 0.22)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 54.13%
    Braintree Town 21.74%
    Draw 24.1%
Chelmsford CityDrawBraintree Town
1-0 @ 11.74% (0.12 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.93% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.020999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.46% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.04 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.36% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.31% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 54.13%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.95% (0.12 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.78% (0.075 0.08)
1-2 @ 5.6% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.31% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.54% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.62%
Total : 21.74%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Braintree 0-3 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-0 Torquay Utd
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Bath City 2-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-2 Truro City
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Maidstone
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 0-3 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-0 Braintree
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-0 Aveley
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 1-1 Braintree
Tuesday, December 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 3-0 Braintree
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-2 Braintree
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South


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