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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 41.11%. A win for Torquay United had a probability of 33.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Torquay United win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chesham United | Draw | Torquay United |
41.11% ( 0.18) | 25.38% ( -0.04) | 33.51% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.89% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.16% ( 0.16) | 47.84% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.98% ( 0.15) | 70.02% ( -0.15) |
| Chesham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.88% ( 0.16) | 23.12% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.03% ( 0.23) | 56.97% ( -0.23) |
| Torquay United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% ( -0.01) | 27.31% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.25% ( -0.01) | 62.75% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesham United | Draw | Torquay United |
| 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.29% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.57% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 41.11% | 1-1 @ 12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.38% | 0-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.98% Total : 33.51% |
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