SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 38.36%. A win for St Albans City had a probability of 36.9% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.04%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest St Albans City win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Chesham United in this match.
| Result | ||
| St Albans City | Draw | Chesham United |
36.9% ( -0.23) | 24.75% ( 0.08) | 38.36% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 58.67% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.52% ( -0.39) | 44.48% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.15% ( -0.38) | 66.85% ( 0.38) |
| St Albans City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( -0.3) | 23.78% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.06% ( -0.43) | 57.94% ( 0.43) |
| Chesham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.98% ( -0.1) | 23.02% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.17% ( -0.15) | 56.83% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| St Albans City | Draw | Chesham United |
| 2-1 @ 8.29% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.06% Total : 36.9% | 1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.04% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 38.36% |
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