SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Havant & Waterlooville win with a probability of 58.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Cheshunt had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Havant & Waterlooville win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.81%) and 0-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Cheshunt win it was 2-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Havant & Waterlooville would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheshunt | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 20.44% | 21.16% ( -0.02) | 58.4% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.08% ( 0.07) | 38.92% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.76% ( 0.07) | 61.24% ( -0.06) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.45% ( 0.04) | 32.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.92% ( 0.04) | 69.08% ( -0.04) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.91% ( 0.03) | 13.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.29% ( 0.06) | 39.71% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheshunt | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 2-1 @ 5.46% ( -0) 1-0 @ 4.78% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 2.68% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.39% Total : 20.44% | 1-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.16% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.81% ( -0.01)0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.7% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.97% 2-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 3.41% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.04% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.91% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.39% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 3.64% Total : 58.4% |
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