SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bath City win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bath City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bath City in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Bath City |
26.92% ( 0.7) | 23.55% ( 0.31) | 49.52% ( -1.01) |
| Both teams to score 58.36% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.07% ( -0.84) | 42.92% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.67% ( -0.84) | 65.32% ( 0.84) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.71% ( 0.08) | 29.29% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.74% ( 0.1) | 65.25% ( -0.11) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.53% ( -0.69) | 17.46% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.06% ( -1.22) | 47.93% ( 1.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Bath City |
| 2-1 @ 6.73% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.25)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.32% Total : 26.93% | 1-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.55% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 7.79% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 4.53% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.43% ( -0.13)0-4 @ 1.98% ( -0.11)2-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.84% Total : 49.52% |
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