SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-0 (8.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bath City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
29.08% ( -3.21) | 26.08% ( 0.64) | 44.84% ( 2.57) |
| Both teams to score 51.69% ( -3.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.59% ( -3.97) | 52.41% ( 3.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.91% ( -3.51) | 74.09% ( 3.51) |
| Bath City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.38% ( -4.24) | 32.62% ( 4.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.84% ( -5.04) | 69.16% ( 5.04) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.71% ( -0.48) | 23.29% ( 0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.77% ( -0.7) | 57.22% ( 0.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bath City | Draw | Chelmsford City |
| 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.64)2-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.37)3-1 @ 2.59% ( -0.59)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.47)3-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.38)Other @ 2.59% Total : 29.08% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 1.12)2-2 @ 5.06% ( -0.55)3-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.24)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 11.06% ( 1.49) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( 0.13)0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.99)1-3 @ 4.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.44)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.31)1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.14)Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.84% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
