SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 50.8%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Chippenham Town |
50.8% ( -0.04) | 22.84% ( -0) | 26.36% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 60.33% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.9% ( 0.04) | 40.09% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.54% ( 0.04) | 62.46% ( -0.05) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.05% | 15.95% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.77% ( 0) | 45.22% ( -0) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( 0.05) | 28.22% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( 0.07) | 63.92% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Chippenham Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.87% ( -0)3-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 3.61% Total : 50.8% | 1-1 @ 10.45% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.5% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.83% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.69% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.6% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.52% ( 0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 26.36% |
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