Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Maidstone United had a probability of 34.31% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Maidstone United win was 0-1 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
-0.05) 
0.01) 
