SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 43.35%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
43.35% ( -0.86) | 25.92% ( 0.27) | 30.72% ( 0.59) |
| Both teams to score 53.03% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.93% ( -0.88) | 51.07% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.07% ( -0.78) | 72.92% ( 0.78) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.57% ( -0.79) | 23.43% ( 0.8) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.57% ( -1.16) | 57.42% ( 1.17) |
| Tonbridge Angels Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.26% ( -0.03) | 30.74% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33% ( -0.04) | 67% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Tonbridge Angels |
| 1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.13)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.99% Total : 43.35% | 1-1 @ 12.32% ( 0.13) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.92% | 0-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 3.04% Total : 30.72% |
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