SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 42.55%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 32.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 0-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Weymouth |
42.55% ( 0.02) | 25.43% ( 0.01) | 32.03% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.51% ( -0.04) | 48.49% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.38% ( -0.03) | 70.62% ( 0.04) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( -0) | 22.7% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.65% ( -0.01) | 56.35% ( 0.01) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.43% ( -0.03) | 28.57% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.64% ( -0.04) | 64.36% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Weymouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( 0)2-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.64% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.31% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 42.55% | 1-1 @ 12.04% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.12% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.09% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.15% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.67% Total : 32.03% |
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