SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 46.43%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Welling United |
46.43% ( -2.66) | 25.67% ( 0.2) | 27.9% ( 2.46) |
| Both teams to score 52.2% ( 1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.62% ( 0.82) | 51.38% ( -0.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% ( 0.71) | 73.2% ( -0.71) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( -0.83) | 22.12% ( 0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.51% ( -1.28) | 55.49% ( 1.28) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.02% ( 2.43) | 32.97% ( -2.43) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.44% ( 2.61) | 69.56% ( -2.61) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weymouth | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 11% ( -0.65) 2-1 @ 9.21% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.72)3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.48)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.23)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 46.43% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.66% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.49)0-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.43)1-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.25)Other @ 2.5% Total : 27.9% |
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