SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Slough Town | 6 | -5 | 7 |
| 16 | Concord Rangers | 6 | -5 | 7 |
| 17 | Hampton & Richmond | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Worthing | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| 7 | Braintree Town | 6 | 6 | 10 |
| 8 | Welling United | 6 | 0 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Braintree Town |
33.25% ( -0.47) | 26.34% ( -0.4) | 40.41% ( 0.87) |
| Both teams to score 52.62% ( 1.16) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.98% ( 1.54) | 52.01% ( -1.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.25% ( 1.31) | 73.75% ( -1.31) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.48% ( 0.46) | 29.52% ( -0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.46% ( 0.55) | 65.53% ( -0.56) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( 1.17) | 25.34% ( -1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.88% ( 1.58) | 60.12% ( -1.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Braintree Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.2)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.25% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.47)2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.2)0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.15)1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.11)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.4% |
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