National League South | Gameweek 7

Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK

Thames Road

Concord Rangers
1 - 3
Braintree

Johnson (55')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Reynolds (25'), Blair (45+3', 52')

Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Braintree Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braintree Town win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 33.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braintree Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Concord Rangers win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braintree Town would win this match.

Result
Concord Rangers	Draw	Braintree Town
33.25% ( -0.47)	26.34% ( -0.4)	40.41% ( 0.87)

Both teams to score 52.62% (

1.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.98% (

1.54)

52.01% (

-1.54)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.25% (

1.31)

73.75% (

-1.31)

Concord Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.48% (

0.46)

29.52% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.46% (

0.55)

65.53% (

-0.56)

Braintree Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.66% (

1.17)

25.34% (

-1.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.88% (

1.58)

60.12% (

-1.59)

Score Analysis

Concord Rangers 33.25%

Braintree Town 40.4%

Draw 26.33%

Concord Rangers	Draw	Braintree Town
1-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.45) 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.2) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.25%	1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.19) 0-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.47) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33%	0-1 @ 10.26% ( -0.29) 1-2 @ 8.6% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.11) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.4%