National League South | Gameweek 4

Aug 20, 2022 at 3pm UK

Court Place Farm

Oxford City
5 - 0
Concord Rangers

Muchechetere (1', 26'), Lolas (14', 77'), Fischer (86')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Coverage of the National League South clash between Oxford City and Concord Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 18.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Oxford City	Draw	Concord Rangers
59.85% ( -0.3)	21.31% ( 0.1)	18.83% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 55.26% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.95% (

-0.13)

42.04% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.55% (

-0.13)

64.44% (

0.13)

Oxford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.33% (

-0.13)

13.66% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.14% (

-0.26)

40.85% (

0.26)

Concord Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64% (

0.15)

36% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.22% (

0.15)

72.78% (

-0.15)

Score Analysis

Oxford City 59.85%

Concord Rangers 18.83%

Draw 21.31%

Oxford City	Draw	Concord Rangers
2-1 @ 9.96% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.61% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.29% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.15% Total : 59.85%	1-1 @ 10% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.31%	1-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 18.83%