Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.