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National League South | Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2022 at 3pm UK
Thames Road
EU

Concord Rangers
1 - 2
Ebbsfleet

Search (90')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Coulthirst (10'), Monlouis (19')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Concord Rangers and Ebbsfleet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 22.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
Concord RangersDrawEbbsfleet
22.14% (0.019000000000002 0.02) 23.64% (0.038999999999998 0.04) 54.22% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)
Both teams to score 52.8% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (-0.14400000000001 -0.14)47.82% (0.142 0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99% (-0.134 -0.13)70% (0.131 0.13)
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.03% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)35.96% (0.061 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.26% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06)72.74% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.46% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)17.54% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.93% (-0.129 -0.13)48.06% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Concord Rangers 22.14%
    Ebbsfleet 54.21%
    Draw 23.63%
Concord RangersDrawEbbsfleet
1-0 @ 6.45% (0.028 0.03)
2-1 @ 5.74% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 3.3% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 1.7% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.12% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 22.14%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.037 0.04)
2-2 @ 5% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.63%
0-1 @ 10.97% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.9% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.47% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.41% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.26% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 54.21%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford City 5-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 0-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Concord Rangers
Tuesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 4-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-3 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 2-3 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 3-0 Chippenham
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Billericay 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League South


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