SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Welling United | 4 | 0 | 7 |
| 8 | Concord Rangers | 4 | -3 | 7 |
| 9 | Oxford City | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 4 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Havant & Waterlooville | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Worthing | 4 | 5 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 22.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
22.14% ( 0.02) | 23.64% ( 0.04) | 54.22% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.8% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% ( -0.14) | 47.82% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.99% ( -0.13) | 70% ( 0.13) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.03% ( -0.07) | 35.96% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.26% ( -0.06) | 72.74% ( 0.06) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.46% ( -0.08) | 17.54% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.93% ( -0.13) | 48.06% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 1-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( 0)2-0 @ 3.3% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 1.87% Total : 22.14% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.63% | 0-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.65% Total : 54.21% |
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