Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result
Chelmsford City	Draw	Concord Rangers
56.69% ( -1.2)	23.52% ( 0.44)	19.78% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 49.76% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.84% (

-0.78)

50.16% (

0.77)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.87% (

-0.69)

72.12% (

0.69)

Chelmsford City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.5% (

-0.71)

17.49% (

0.7)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.01% (

-1.24)

47.98% (

1.24)

Concord Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.31% (

0.38)

39.69% (

-0.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.63% (

0.35)

76.36% (

-0.36)

Score Analysis

Chelmsford City 56.69%

Concord Rangers 19.78%

Draw 23.52%

Chelmsford City	Draw	Concord Rangers
1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 5.67% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.67% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.66% Total : 56.69%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 6.42% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.34% Total : 19.78%