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National League South | Gameweek 6
Aug 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
CR

Chelmsford City
1 - 0
Concord Rangers

Ruff (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Concord Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 56.69%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 19.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelmsford City in this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawConcord Rangers
56.69% (-1.2 -1.2) 23.52% (0.44 0.44) 19.78% (0.756 0.76)
Both teams to score 49.76% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.84% (-0.776 -0.78)50.16% (0.77099999999999 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.87% (-0.693 -0.69)72.12% (0.688 0.69)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.5% (-0.709 -0.71)17.49% (0.703 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.01% (-1.244 -1.24)47.98% (1.239 1.24)
Concord Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.31% (0.383 0.38)39.69% (-0.388 -0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.63% (0.354 0.35)76.36% (-0.35899999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 56.69%
    Concord Rangers 19.78%
    Draw 23.52%
Chelmsford CityDrawConcord Rangers
1-0 @ 12.1% (0.1 0.1)
2-0 @ 10.55% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
3-0 @ 6.13% (-0.241 -0.24)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.161 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.67% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.47% (-0.13 -0.13)
4-2 @ 1.14% (-0.048 -0.05)
5-0 @ 0.93% (-0.083 -0.08)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 56.69%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.21 0.21)
0-0 @ 6.94% (0.214 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.52%
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.263 0.26)
1-2 @ 5.17% (0.148 0.15)
0-2 @ 2.96% (0.151 0.15)
1-3 @ 1.59% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 19.78%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Welling United 1-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 0-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-1 Weymouth
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 0-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 St Albans City
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Oxford City 5-0 Concord Rangers
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 0-1 Concord Rangers
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 2-1 Welling United
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South


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