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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concord Rangers win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Cheshunt had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concord Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Cheshunt win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Cheshunt |
38.8% ( 0.19) | 25.29% ( -0.04) | 35.91% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 56.66% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.96% ( 0.15) | 47.04% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.71% ( 0.14) | 69.29% ( -0.14) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( 0.17) | 23.93% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.84% ( 0.24) | 58.16% ( -0.24) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.49% ( -0.02) | 25.51% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 39.64% ( -0.02) | 60.36% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Cheshunt |
| 1-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.78% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.98% Total : 38.8% | 1-1 @ 11.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.91% |
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