Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Concord Rangers win with a probability of 40.87%. A win for Bath City had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Concord Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.01%). The likeliest Bath City win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Concord Rangers would win this match.
