SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 47.68%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (8.5%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 0-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Dover Athletic |
47.68% ( 0.11) | 25.36% ( -0.06) | 26.95% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 52.43% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.25% ( 0.2) | 50.74% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.36% ( 0.17) | 72.64% ( -0.18) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.71% ( 0.13) | 21.29% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.77% ( 0.2) | 54.23% ( -0.21) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.62% ( 0.06) | 33.38% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.99% ( 0.07) | 70% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dartford | Draw | Dover Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.5% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 47.68% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.36% | 0-1 @ 7.8% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 26.95% |
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