National League South | Gameweek 9

Sep 13, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
1 - 3
Dartford

Baptiste (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-3)

Carruthers (27'), Coulson (32'), Statham (45')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Dartford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 46.57%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.

Result
Dover Athletic	Draw	Dartford
28.04% ( -0.05)	25.38% ( 0.03)	46.57% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.19% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.85% (

-0.16)

50.15% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.89% (

-0.14)

72.11% (

0.14)

Dover Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.79% (

-0.12)

32.21% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.3% (

-0.14)

68.7% (

0.13)

Dartford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.46% (

-0.06)

21.54% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.39% (

-0.09)

54.61% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Dover Athletic 28.04%

Dartford 46.57%

Draw 25.38%

Dover Athletic	Draw	Dartford
1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 6.84% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.45% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.66% Total : 28.04%	1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 10.65% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 4.19% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.61% 2-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 46.57%