Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.