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National League South | Gameweek 40
Mar 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Princes Park

Dartford
1 - 2
Chelmsford City

Coulson (40')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alfa (83'), McGregor (90+3')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dartford and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dartford 3-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 4-2 Worthing
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
DartfordDrawChelmsford City
38.73%26%35.27%
Both teams to score 54.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.76%50.23%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.81%72.19%
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.58%25.42%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.76%60.23%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.6%27.39%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.14%62.86%
Score Analysis
    Dartford 38.73%
    Chelmsford City 35.27%
    Draw 25.99%
DartfordDrawChelmsford City
1-0 @ 9.54%
2-1 @ 8.46%
2-0 @ 6.53%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-0 @ 2.98%
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.32%
4-0 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.34%
0-0 @ 6.96%
2-2 @ 5.48%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 9.02%
1-2 @ 8%
0-2 @ 5.84%
1-3 @ 3.45%
0-3 @ 2.52%
2-3 @ 2.36%
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dartford 3-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hungerford 1-1 Dartford
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 3-1 Dartford
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-0 Oxford City
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-0 Slough
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-1 Dartford
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 4-2 Worthing
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, March 14 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 5-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Monday, March 6 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-2 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League South


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