SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Weston-super-Mare had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.74%). The likeliest Weston-super-Mare win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dartford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
44.39% ( -0.15) | 25.69% ( 0.13) | 29.91% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.36% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.54% ( -0.54) | 50.46% ( 0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.61% ( -0.48) | 72.39% ( 0.48) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.33% ( -0.3) | 22.67% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.69% ( -0.45) | 56.31% ( 0.45) |
| Weston-super-Mare Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.99% ( -0.26) | 31% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.68% ( -0.31) | 67.31% ( 0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dartford | Draw | Weston-super-Mare |
| 1-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.49% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.15% Total : 44.39% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 5.31% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.23% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.15% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.88% Other @ 2.97% Total : 29.91% |
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