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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 44.32%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.94%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Dartford |
29.56% ( 0.06) | 26.12% ( 0.03) | 44.32% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.84% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.66% ( -0.1) | 52.34% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.97% ( -0.09) | 74.03% ( 0.09) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% ( -0.01) | 32.23% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.28% ( -0.01) | 68.72% ( 0.02) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.49% ( -0.08) | 23.51% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.45% ( -0.12) | 57.55% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Dartford |
| 1-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.03% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 2.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.68% Total : 29.56% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.12% | 0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.94% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.34% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.84% Total : 44.32% |
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