Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 19.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
