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National League South | Gameweek 28
Feb 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
Meadowbank

Dorking
2 - 0
Chelmsford City

Briggs (3'), McShane (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dorking Wanderers and Chelmsford City.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 19.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.28%) and 1-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-2 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Dorking WanderersDrawChelmsford City
59.82%20.96%19.21%
Both teams to score 57.17%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.15%39.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.79%62.2%
Dorking Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.03%12.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.54%39.46%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.69%34.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.99%71.01%
Score Analysis
    Dorking Wanderers 59.82%
    Chelmsford City 19.21%
    Draw 20.96%
Dorking WanderersDrawChelmsford City
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.28%
1-0 @ 9.09%
3-1 @ 6.76%
3-0 @ 6.32%
3-2 @ 3.62%
4-1 @ 3.45%
4-0 @ 3.23%
4-2 @ 1.85%
5-1 @ 1.41%
5-0 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 59.82%
1-1 @ 9.72%
2-2 @ 5.31%
0-0 @ 4.45%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 20.96%
1-2 @ 5.2%
0-1 @ 4.76%
0-2 @ 2.55%
2-3 @ 1.9%
1-3 @ 1.86%
0-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 19.21%

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