Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 37.35%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.04%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dover Athletic would win this match.
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