SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Chelmsford City | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Dover Athletic | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | St Albans City | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Farnborough Town | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Hungerford Town | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Oxford City | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dover Athletic win with a probability of 45.93%. A win for Hungerford Town had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dover Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Hungerford Town win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dover Athletic in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Hungerford Town |
45.93% ( 0.25) | 25.68% ( -0.01) | 28.39% ( -0.24) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.84% ( -0.08) | 51.16% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.99% ( -0.07) | 73.01% ( 0.07) |
| Dover Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.75% ( 0.08) | 22.25% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.31% ( 0.12) | 55.69% ( -0.12) |
| Hungerford Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.51% ( -0.22) | 32.48% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.99% ( -0.25) | 69.01% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dover Athletic | Draw | Hungerford Town |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 45.93% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.87% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.39% |
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