SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | Welling United | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Eastbourne Borough | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Bath City | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 | Welling United | 3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 3 | -1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Welling United |
47.73% ( -0.45) | 24.57% ( 0.01) | 27.7% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 55.56% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% ( 0.27) | 46.92% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% ( 0.25) | 69.17% ( -0.25) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.28% ( -0.08) | 19.73% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.26% ( -0.13) | 51.74% ( 0.13) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.21% ( 0.47) | 30.79% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.94% ( 0.55) | 67.07% ( -0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 3% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 47.73% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.07% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.97% Total : 27.7% |
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