SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Dulwich Hamlet had a probability of 29.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Dulwich Hamlet win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Worthing in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dulwich Hamlet | Draw | Worthing |
29.37% ( 1.18) | 24.63% ( 0.38) | 45.99% ( -1.57) |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.82% ( -0.99) | 46.18% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.52% ( -0.94) | 68.47% ( 0.93) |
| Dulwich Hamlet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.79% ( 0.33) | 29.2% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% ( 0.41) | 65.15% ( -0.41) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.83% ( -1.06) | 20.16% ( 1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.55% ( -1.71) | 52.45% ( 1.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dulwich Hamlet | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.36) 2-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.2)2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.26)3-1 @ 2.93% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.51% Total : 29.37% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.24)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.12)1-4 @ 1.99% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 1.61% ( -0.15)2-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.86% Total : 45.99% |
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