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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 55.4%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 21.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.87%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Hemel Hempstead Town win it was 1-0 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Worthing |
21.87% ( -0.15) | 22.73% ( 0.01) | 55.4% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 55.38% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.78% ( -0.22) | 44.22% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.4% ( -0.21) | 66.6% ( 0.21) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% ( -0.26) | 34.21% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.1% ( -0.28) | 70.9% ( 0.28) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.17% ( -0.03) | 15.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.99% ( -0.05) | 45% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.14% Total : 21.87% | 1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 5.29% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.73% | 0-1 @ 9.98% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0)0-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 6.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.65% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.03% ( -0)0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 55.4% |
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