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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 67.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Concord Rangers had a probability of 13.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11%) and 1-2 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Concord Rangers win it was 1-0 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Worthing |
13.21% ( -1.71) | 19.12% ( -1.06) | 67.66% ( 2.77) |
| Both teams to score 49.6% ( -1.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.98% ( 1.02) | 43.02% ( -1.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.58% ( 1) | 65.42% ( -1) |
| Concord Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.18% ( -1.85) | 43.81% ( 1.86) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.03% ( -1.57) | 79.97% ( 1.57) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.28% ( 1.08) | 11.72% ( -1.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 63.15% ( 2.26) | 36.85% ( -2.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Concord Rangers | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.43) 2-1 @ 3.75% ( -0.42)2-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.28)3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.17)Other @ 1.34% Total : 13.21% | 1-1 @ 9.09% ( -0.5) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.23)2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.26)Other @ 0.88% Total : 19.12% | 0-2 @ 11.8% ( 0.46) 0-1 @ 11% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.74% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 8.43% ( 0.66)1-3 @ 6.96% ( 0.21)0-4 @ 4.52% ( 0.52)1-4 @ 3.73% ( 0.26)2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.94% ( 0.29)1-5 @ 1.6% ( 0.17)2-4 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.53% Total : 67.66% |
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