SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Braintree Town had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.49%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Braintree Town win it was 1-0 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Braintree Town | Draw | Worthing |
20.78% ( 0.06) | 24.51% ( 0.04) | 54.71% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 48.35% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.19% ( -0.1) | 52.81% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.56% ( -0.09) | 74.43% ( 0.08) |
| Braintree Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.85% ( 0) | 40.14% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.21% | 76.78% ( -0) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.77% ( -0.08) | 19.23% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.07% ( -0.13) | 50.93% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Braintree Town | Draw | Worthing |
| 1-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.61% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 1.3% Total : 20.78% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0)Other @ 0.8% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 12.72% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 10.49% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.77% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.17% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 54.7% |
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