SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 2 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Eastbourne Borough | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 11 | Cheshunt | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Dartford | 2 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Concord Rangers | 2 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 48.54%. A win for Eastbourne Borough had a probability of 28.48% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.78%) and 0-2 (7.03%). The likeliest Eastbourne Borough win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
28.48% ( 0.2) | 22.98% ( 0.02) | 48.54% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 61.65% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.85% ( 0.06) | 39.15% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.52% ( 0.07) | 61.48% ( -0.07) |
| Eastbourne Borough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.75% ( 0.17) | 26.25% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.64% ( 0.22) | 61.36% ( -0.22) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.59% ( -0.05) | 16.41% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.93% ( -0.1) | 46.07% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastbourne Borough | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.11% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 28.48% | 1-1 @ 10.41% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 9.41% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 7.03% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 3.79% ( 0)1-4 @ 2.56% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.71% ( -0)1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.5% Total : 48.54% |
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