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National League South | Gameweek 42
May 7, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stonebridge Road

Ebbsfleet
2 - 1
Chelmsford City

Jombarti (50'), Bingham (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Chelmsford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 16.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawChelmsford City
63.69%20.04%16.26%
Both teams to score 54.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.3%40.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.92%63.08%
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.87%12.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.28%37.71%
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.85%38.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.09%74.91%
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 63.69%
    Chelmsford City 16.26%
    Draw 20.04%
EbbsfleetDrawChelmsford City
2-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.92%
1-0 @ 9.76%
3-0 @ 7.24%
3-1 @ 6.98%
4-0 @ 3.82%
4-1 @ 3.68%
3-2 @ 3.36%
4-2 @ 1.77%
5-0 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.55%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 63.69%
1-1 @ 9.41%
2-2 @ 4.78%
0-0 @ 4.63%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.04%
1-2 @ 4.53%
0-1 @ 4.46%
0-2 @ 2.15%
2-3 @ 1.54%
1-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 16.26%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Billericay 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-2 Chippenham
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-4 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Concord Rangers
Tuesday, May 3 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 3-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Slough
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Billericay
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 0-3 Chelmsford City
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 1-1 Tonbridge Angels
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in National League South


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