Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 63.69%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
