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National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 6, 2022 at 3pm UK
Fuling Stadium

Ebbsfleet
3 - 0
Chippenham

Cundle (28'), Edser (67'), McQueen (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Ebbsfleet and Chippenham Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 58.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 18.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.84%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.97%), while for a Chippenham Town win it was 0-1 (6.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawChippenham Town
58.14% (0.432 0.43) 23.09% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 18.77% (-0.429 -0.43)
Both teams to score 49.43% (-0.716 -0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.25% (-0.585 -0.59)49.74% (0.585 0.59)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.24% (-0.525 -0.52)71.75% (0.524 0.52)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.17% (-0.054999999999993 -0.05)16.83% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.18% (-0.101 -0.1)46.81% (0.101 0.1)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.43% (-0.823 -0.82)40.57% (0.823 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.83% (-0.752 -0.75)77.17% (0.752 0.75)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 58.14%
    Chippenham Town 18.77%
    Draw 23.08%
EbbsfleetDrawChippenham Town
1-0 @ 12.16% (0.26 0.26)
2-0 @ 10.84% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.44% (0.116 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.81% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.87% (0.047 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.62% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-1 @ 2.59% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (-0.034 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.007 -0.01)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 58.14%
1-1 @ 10.97% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.83% (0.161 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.41% (-0.111 -0.11)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 23.08%
0-1 @ 6.16% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.95% (-0.115 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.78% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 1.49% (-0.069 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.33% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.77%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Billericay 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-2 Chippenham
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-2 Ebbsfleet
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-1 Dulwich Hamlet
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-2 Chippenham
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-2 Hungerford
Monday, May 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 2-2 Chippenham
Saturday, April 30 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 2-0 Dulwich Hamlet
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 1-0 Oxford City
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dorking 3-0 Chippenham
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South


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