Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Tonbridge Angels had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
