Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 51.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Billericay Town had a probability of 23.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.55%), while for a Billericay Town win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
