Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Albans City win with a probability of 47.93%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Albans City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-2 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
