SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 44.66%. A win for Chesham United had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Chesham United win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Chesham United |
44.66% ( 0.19) | 26.15% ( -0.09) | 29.19% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.54% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.36% ( 0.28) | 52.64% ( -0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.71% ( 0.25) | 74.28% ( -0.25) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( 0.22) | 23.47% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.5% ( 0.31) | 57.49% ( -0.32) |
| Chesham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.34% ( 0.07) | 32.65% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.8% ( 0.07) | 69.2% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Farnborough Town | Draw | Chesham United |
| 1-0 @ 11.1% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 4.35% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.58% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.83% Total : 44.65% | 1-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.67% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.14% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.19% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
