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National League South | Gameweek 45
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Paddy Power Park
DA

Farnborough Town
3 - 0
Dover Athletic

Bloomfield (7'), Lokko (40'), Saied (71')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Farnborough Town and Dover Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Worthing
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 55.21%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 22.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.86%) and 2-0 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.79%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Farnborough Town would win this match.

Result
Farnborough TownDrawDover Athletic
55.21% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 22.73% (0.0040000000000013 0) 22.06% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.67% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)43.97% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.65% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)66.35% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)15.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.04% (-0.012 -0.01)44.95% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.11% (0.0040000000000049 0)33.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)70.55% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Farnborough Town 55.21%
    Dover Athletic 22.06%
    Draw 22.73%
Farnborough TownDrawDover Athletic
1-0 @ 9.88% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-1 @ 9.86%
2-0 @ 9.11% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-1 @ 6.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.59% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.03%
5-0 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 55.21%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.34%
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.73%
0-1 @ 5.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 3.14% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 1.93%
0-3 @ 1.13% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 22.06%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Worthing
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 2-0 Farnborough Town
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-2 Farnborough Town
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 2-1 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, April 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 2-1 Concord Rangers
Tuesday, March 28 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 0-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Concord Rangers 1-0 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-5 Oxford City
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 2-1 Dover Athletic
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-0 Welling United
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 1-3 Dover Athletic
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in National League South


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