Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 53.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.
-0.02) 
0.01) 
