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National League South | Gameweek 14
Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Perrys Crabble Stadium

Dover Athletic
1 - 1
Farnborough Town

Pavey (61' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Young (14')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Dover Athletic and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dover Athletic 3-0 Slough
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 35.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.52%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawFarnborough Town
35.79% (0.036999999999999 0.04) 25.39% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 38.81% (-0.056999999999995 -0.06)
Both teams to score 56.28% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46% (-0.07 -0.07)47.53% (0.063000000000002 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)69.74% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.19% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)25.8% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.24% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)60.76% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.85% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06)24.15% (0.056000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.53% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)58.46% (0.080000000000005 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 35.79%
    Farnborough Town 38.81%
    Draw 25.39%
Dover AthleticDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 8.44% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-0 @ 5.72% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.67% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 2.58% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 1.24%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 35.79%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.23% (0.016 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.77% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.85% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.52% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.29% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.06% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 38.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Dover Athletic 3-0 Slough
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 3-1 Braintree
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 1-1 Dover Athletic
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weymouth 0-2 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dover Athletic 1-3 Dartford
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 3-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-2 Farnborough Town
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 0-1 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough Town 1-2 St Albans City
Saturday, September 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-1 Farnborough Town
Tuesday, September 13 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Cheshunt 0-1 Farnborough Town
Saturday, September 3 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-0 Farnborough Town
Monday, August 29 at 3pm in National League South


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