SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 46.79%. A win for Chippenham Town had a probability of 27.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.49%). The likeliest Chippenham Town win was 1-0 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Farnborough Town |
27.4% ( -2.95) | 25.8% ( -0.05) | 46.79% ( 3) |
| Both teams to score 51.43% ( -1.65) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.78% ( -1.29) | 52.21% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.08% ( -1.13) | 73.92% ( 1.13) |
| Chippenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% ( -2.88) | 33.8% ( 2.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.53% ( -3.25) | 70.47% ( 3.25) |
| Farnborough Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.7% ( 0.85) | 22.3% ( -0.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.23% ( 1.25) | 55.76% ( -1.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chippenham Town | Draw | Farnborough Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.56)2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.5)3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.42)3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 1.6% ( -0.33)Other @ 2.33% Total : 27.4% | 1-1 @ 12.26% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.38)2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 0.9% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.79% | 0-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.84) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.82)1-3 @ 4.6% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 4.25% ( 0.51)2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.73% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.22)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)Other @ 2.19% Total : 46.79% |
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